Market Outlook
August 21, 2017
Market Cues
Domestic Indices
Chg (%)
(Pts)
(Close)
Indian markets are likely to open flat tracking global cues and SGX Nifty.
BSE Sensex
(0.9)
(271)
31,525
U.S. stock benchmarks closed firmly lower on Friday with low volumes. Stocks shifted
Nifty
(0.7)
(67)
9,837
between gains and losses Friday as President Donald Trump’s strategist Stephen
Mid Cap
(0.1)
(20)
15,208
Bannon departed the White House, following the prior day’s selloff fuelled by a
Small Cap
(0.5)
(77)
15,618
terrorist attack in Barcelona and rumours that Trump’s economic adviser Gary Cohn
might resign. The Dow closed down 0.35 percent to 21,674, The S&P 500 declined
Bankex
(0.7)
(194)
27,184
0.18 percent to close at 2,425, and The Nasdaq declined 0.09 percent at 6,216.
Global Indices
Chg (%)
(Pts)
(Close)
Blue-chip stocks in the U.K. dropped Friday, wrapping up the week with a fall in
travel-related stocks after terrorists launched attacks in Spain. The FTSE 100 UKX,
Dow Jones
(0.4)
(76)
21,675
fell 0.9 percent to close at 7,324, trimming its weekly advance to 0.2 percent.
Nasdaq
(0.1)
(5)
6,217
FTSE
(0.9)
(64)
7,324
On the domestic front, Indian shares fell on Friday, with weak global cues and steep
losses in Infosys shares in the wake of CEO Vishal Sikka's resignation weighing on
Nikkei
(1.2)
(232)
19,470
markets, heading into the weekend. The 30-share BSE Sensex fell 0.85 percent to
Hang Seng
(1.1)
(297)
27,048
finish at 31,524.68 while the broader 50-share NSE Nifty index ended down by
Shanghai Com
0.0
0
3,269
0.67 percent at 9,837.40.
Advances / Declines
BSE
NSE
Advances
1,944
1,589
News Analysis
Declines
1,621
1,102
CEO & MD of Infosys Resigns
Unchanged
116
61
Infosys Buyback
Detailed analysis is on Pg2
Volumes (` Cr)
BSE
3,864
Investor’s Ready Reckoner
NSE
28,953
Key Domestic & Global Indicators
Stock Watch: Latest investment recommendations on 150+ stocks
#Net Inflows (` Cr)
Net
Mtd
Ytd
Pg7 onwards
FII
(1,927)
(6,127)
52,270
Top Picks
MFs
8(38)
4,434
55,380
CMP
Target
Upside
Company
Sector
Rating
(`)
(`)
(%)
Blue Star
Capital Goods
Accumulate
714
760
6.4
Top Gainers
Price (`)
Chg (%)
Dewan Housing FinanceFinancials
Buy
450
520
15.5
Dishtvem
178
5.7
Mahindra Lifespace
Real Estate
Buy
405
522
28.9
Sparc
399
5.1
Navkar Corporation
Others
Buy
189
265
40.3
Pcjeweller
372
4.5
KEI Industries
Capital Goods
Buy
216
258
19.6
More Top Picks on Pg5
Rcom
24
4.3
Infratel
394
4.1
Key Upcoming Events
Previous
Consensus
Date
Region
Event Description
Reading
Expectations
Top Losers
Price (`)
Chg (%)
Aug 23, 2017 Germany PMI Services
53.10
53.30
Infy
923
(9.6)
Aug 23, 2017 Germany PMI Manufacturing
58.10
57.70
Aban
177
(4.3)
Aug 23, 2017 US
New home sales
610.00
610.00
Aug 23, 2017 Euro Zone Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence
(1.70)
(1.90)
Fortis
145
(4.1)
Aug 24, 2017 US
Initial Jobless claims
232.00
Sunpharma
470
(3.8)
More Events on Pg7
Sintex
33
(3.8)
#as on 18th Aug, 2017
www.angelbroking.com
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
August 21, 2017
News Analysis
CEO & MD of Infosys Resigns
Mr. Vishal Sikka has resigned as the Chief Executive Officer & Managing Director
of Infosys with immediate effect. Sikka cited among his reasons for leaving "a
continuous stream of distractions and disruptions over the recent months and
quarters, increasingly personal and negative as of late, as preventing
management's ability to accelerate the company's transformation. Sikka has been
appointed as Executive Vice-Chairman while Chief Operating Officer UB Pravin
Rao will now take over as the interim MD & CEO of the software major. Infosys
said that the succession plan for appointment of a new Managing Director and
Chief Executive Officer has been operationalised by the Board & a search for the
same has been commenced. While in near term it’s a setback for the company;
but given the strength of the board of the company, we believe that the company,
will be overcome the setback. Given the valuations we maintain our buy with a
price target of `1179.
Infosys Buyback
Infosys Ltd.’s board approved to buy back shares worth up to `13,000cr at `
1,150/-. That represents 4.92 percent of its total outstanding equity. The buyback
price implies a premium of 24.5 percent to Friday’s closing price.
Economic and Political News
PSBs need to take haircuts on stressed assets: RBI Governor
Bank unions threaten to strike work on Tuesday; services may be hit
Govt. may soon allow 100% FDI in defence
Corporate News
Laurus Labs’ Vizag unit gets two U.S. FDA observations
Central Bank of India issues preference shares to government
Bajaj Electricals Bags order worth `391.45cr from Transmission Corporation
of Telangana
Nestle India partners with Amazon for new range of Maggi noodles
www.angelbroking.com
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
August 21, 2017
Top Picks
Market Cap
CMP
Target
Upside
Company
Rationale
(` Cr)
(`)
(`)
(%)
Strong growth in domestic business due to its leadership
in acute therapeutic segment. Alkem expects to launch
Alkem Laboratories
21,520
1,800
2,161
20.1
more products in USA, which bodes for its international
business.
We expect the company would report strong profitability
Asian Granito
1,231
409
480
17.3
owing to better product mix, higher B2C sales and
amalgamation synergy.
Favorable outlook for the AC industry to augur well for
Cooling products business which is out pacing the
Blue Star
6,841
714
760
6.4
market growth. EMPPAC division's profitability to improve
once operating environment turns around.
With a focus on the low and medium income (LMI)
consumer segment, the company has increased its
Dewan Housing Finance
14,121
450
520
15.5
presence in tier-II & III cities where the growth
opportunity is immense.
Loan growth is likely to pick up after a sluggish FY17.
Karur Vysya Bank
8,614
143
160
12.2
Lower credit cost will help in strong bottom-line growth.
Increasing share of CASA will help in NIM improvement.
High order book execution in EPC segment, rising B2C
KEI Industries
1,678
216
258
19.6
sales and higher exports to boost the revenues and
profitability
Speedier execution and speedier sales, strong revenue
Mahindra Lifespace
2,078
405
522
28.9
visibility in short-to-long run, attractive valuations
Expected to benefit from the lower capex requirement
Music Broadcast
2,146
376
434
15.4
and 15 year long radio broadcast licensing.
Massive capacity expansion along with rail advantage at
Navkar Corporation
2,694
189
265
40.3
ICD as well CFS augurs well for the company
Strong brands and distribution network would boost
Siyaram Silk Mills
1,892
2,018
2,500
23.9
growth going ahead. Stock currently trades at an
inexpensive valuation.
Market leadership in Hindi news genre and no.
2
viewership ranking in English news genre, exit from the
TV Today Network
1,432
240
344
43.3
radio business, and anticipated growth in ad spends by
corporates to benefit the stock.
After GST, the company is expected to see higher
volumes along with improving product mix. The Gujarat
Maruti Suzuki
2,30,187
7,620
8,544
12.1
plant will also enable higher operating leverage which
will be margin accretive.
Source: Company, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
August 21, 2017
Key Upcoming Events
Global economic events release calendar
Bl oomberg Data
D ate
Time
C ountry
Event Description
Unit
Period
L ast Reporte d
E stimate d
Aug 23, 2017
1:00 PM Germany
PMI Services
Value
Aug P
53.10
53.30
1:00 PM Germany
PMI Manufacturing
Value
Aug P
58.10
57.70
7:30 PM US
New home sales
Thousands
Jul
610.00
610.00
7:30 PM Euro Zone
Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence
Value
Aug A
(1.70)
(1.90)
Aug 24, 2017
6:00 PM US
Initial Jobless claims
Thousands
Aug 19
232.00
11: 30 AM Germany
GDP nsa (YoY)
% Change
2Q F
0.80
0.80
2:00 PM UK
GDP (YoY)
% Change
2Q P
1.70
1.70
Aug 25, 2017
7:30 PM US
Existing home sales
Million
Jul
5.52
5.56
Aug 29, 2017
7:30 PM US
Consumer Confidence
S.A./ 1985=100
Aug
121.10
119.00
Aug 30, 2017
6:00 PM US
GDP Qoq (Annualise d)
% Change
2Q S
2.60
2.40
Aug 31, 2017
1:25 PM Germany
Unempl oyment change (000's)
Thousands
Aug
(8.00)
6:30 AM China
PMI Manufacturing
Value
Aug
51.40
Sep 01, 2017
6:00 PM US
Change in N onfarm payrolls
Thousands
Aug
209.00
180.00
6:00 PM US
Unnemployment rate
%
Aug
4.30
4.30
2:00 PM UK
PMI Manufacturing
Value
Aug
55.10
Sep 05, 2017
2:30 PM Euro Zone
Euro-Zone GDP s.a. (QoQ)
% Change
2Q F
0.60
Sep 07, 2017
5:15 PM Euro Zone
ECB announces interest rates
%
Sep 7
-
Sep 08, 2017
India
Exports YoY%
% Change
Aug
3.94
India
Imports YoY%
% Change
Aug
15.40
2:00 PM UK
Industrial Production (YoY)
% Change
Jul
0.30
China
Exports YoY%
% Change
Aug
7.20
Sep 09, 2017
7:00 AM China
Consumer Price Index (YoY)
% Change
Aug
1.40
Sep 12, 2017
2:00 PM UK
CPI (YoY)
% Change
Aug
2.60
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
August 21, 2017
Macro watch
Exhibit 1: Quarterly GDP trends
Exhibit 2: IIP trends
(%)
(%)
5.7
5.7
10.0
6.0
9.1
8.8
4.9
4.9
9.0
5.0
7.9
8.0
7.9
7.6
7.5
3.8
8.0
7.3
7.2
4.0
7.0
3.0
2.6
2.8
2.8
7.0
6.1
6.1
3.0
1.9
6.0
2.0
5.0
1.0
4.0
-
3.0
(0.1)
(1.0)
Source: CSO, Angel Research
Source: MOSPI, Angel Research
Exhibit 3: Monthly CPI inflation trends
Exhibit 4: Manufacturing and services PMI
56.0
Mfg. PMI
Services PMI
(%)
6.0
54.0
5.1
52.0
5.0
4.3
4.2
3.9
50.0
3.6
3.7
4.0
3.4
3.2
3.0
48.0
3.0
2.4
2.2
46.0
2.0
1.5
44.0
1.0
42.0
40.0
-
Source: Market, Angel Research; Note: Level above 50 indicates expansion
Source: MOSPI, Angel Research
Exhibit 5: Exports and imports growth trends
Exhibit 6: Key policy rates
(%)
Exports yoy growth
Imports yoy growth
(%)
Repo rate
Reverse Repo rate
CRR
60.0
6.50
50.0
6.00
40.0
5.50
30.0
20.0
5.00
10.0
4.50
0.0
4.00
(10.0)
3.50
(20.0)
(30.0)
3.00
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Source: RBI, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
August 21, 2017
Global watch
Exhibit 1: Latest quarterly GDP Growth (%, yoy) across select developing and developed countries
(%)
8.0
6.9
7.0
5.6
6.0
5.3
5.0
1.0
5.0
4.0
3.3
2.9
3.0
2.1
1.7
1.8
0.5
2.0
1.3
1.0
-
(1.0)
(0.4)
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Exhibit 2: 2016 GDP Growth projection by IMF (%, yoy) across select developing and developed countries
(%)
7.2
7.0
6.6
6.0
5.1
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.0
3.0
2.3
2.0
1.4
1.6
2.0
1.4
1.2
0.2
0.8
1.0
-
Source: IMF, Angel Research
Exhibit 3: One year forward P-E ratio across select developing and developed countries
(x)
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
-
Source: IMF, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
August 21, 2017
Exhibit 4: Relative performance of indices across globe
Returns (%)
C ountry
Name of index
Closing price
1M
3M
1YR
Brazil
Bovespa
68,715
5.4
9.7
16.8
Russia
Micex
1,931
(1.1)
(1.6)
(2.4)
India
Nifty
9,837
0.1
4.3
13.4
China
Shanghai Composite
3,269
1.2
5.8
8.8
South Africa
Top 40
48,930
4.3
2.4
7.8
Mexico
Mexbol
51,075
(0.0)
4.4
5.8
Indonesia
LQ45
982
0.7
3.5
6.7
Malaysia
KLCI
1,776
1.1
0.0
5.8
Thailand
SET 50
997
(0.0)
1.3
0.6
USA
Dow Jones
21,675
0.2
4.9
16.8
UK
FTSE
7,324
(1.4)
(2.0)
7.3
Japan
Nikkei
19,470
(2.6)
(0.4)
16.3
Germany
DAX
12,165
(2.3)
(3.7)
14.5
France
CAC
5,114
(2.0)
(3.9)
15.1
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
August 21, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Agri / Agri Chemical
Rallis
Reduce
229
209
4,450
1,873
2,099
15.0
15.0
9.5
10.5
24.1
21.8
3.7
3.3
15.8
16.0
2.3
2.1
United Phosphorus
Neutral
846
-
42,992
18,922
21,949
18.0
18.5
36.2
45.6
23.4
18.6
4.9
4.0
22.7
23.8
2.4
2.0
Auto & Auto Ancillary
Ashok Leyland
Buy
104
124
30,348
23,339
27,240
10.1
10.8
4.7
6.2
22.3
16.7
4.5
3.9
20.0
23.6
1.3
1.1
Bajaj Auto
Accumulate
2,816
3,151
81,477
23,936
27,955
19.5
20.1
142.7
167.3
19.7
16.8
4.3
3.8
21.8
22.8
3.0
2.5
Bharat Forge
Neutral
1,172
-
27,277
7,637
8,755
21.7
23.2
36.1
47.3
32.5
24.8
5.8
5.0
18.5
20.8
3.4
2.9
Eicher Motors
Neutral
31,511
-
85,781
19,043
22,837
19.5
19.9
835.4
1,019.0
37.7
30.9
14.1
10.9
40.9
37.8
4.4
3.6
Gabriel India
Neutral
175
-
2,513
1,782
2,033
9.7
10.2
7.1
8.9
24.6
19.8
5.0
4.2
21.0
22.2
1.4
1.2
Hero Motocorp
Neutral
3,983
-
79,534
32,239
36,878
16.0
15.6
184.4
206.5
21.6
19.3
6.8
6.0
31.3
30.7
2.3
1.9
Jamna Auto Industries Neutral
250
-
1,994
1,441
1,662
14.4
14.8
13.9
17.6
18.0
14.2
4.9
4.0
30.0
31.0
1.4
1.2
Mahindra and Mahindra Neutral
1,371
-
85,161
46,971
53,816
13.6
14.0
67.7
79.8
20.3
17.2
2.9
2.6
15.0
15.9
1.7
1.4
Maruti
Accumulate
7,620
8,544
230,187
81,825
101,245
15.0
15.0
283.5
356.0
26.9
21.4
5.9
4.8
21.9
22.4
2.5
1.9
Minda Industries
Neutral
780
-
6,741
4,328
5,084
11.0
11.9
27.3
36.4
28.6
21.4
6.1
4.7
23.1
25.6
1.6
1.4
Motherson Sumi
Neutral
325
-
68,513
55,937
64,445
10.8
11.4
16.9
21.1
19.3
15.5
4.3
4.4
25.2
25.4
1.3
1.1
Tata Motors
Neutral
381
-
109,921
303,167
343,649
11.8
13.8
33.1
54.7
11.5
7.0
1.9
1.5
16.9
23.0
0.4
0.3
TVS Motor
Neutral
584
-
27,736
13,992
16,216
9.0
9.4
17.1
20.3
34.2
28.8
9.1
7.0
29.7
27.7
1.9
1.6
Amara Raja Batteries
Accumulate
797
858
13,605
6,140
7,122
14.3
15.6
29.3
39.0
27.2
20.4
4.6
3.9
17.1
19.0
2.2
1.9
Exide Industries
Neutral
209
-
17,765
8,689
9,854
15.1
15.2
9.7
11.0
21.7
19.0
3.8
3.4
15.7
16.1
1.8
1.5
Apollo Tyres
Neutral
270
-
13,726
15,739
17,326
13.3
14.6
20.4
26.7
13.2
10.1
1.6
1.4
20.4
26.7
1.1
1.0
Ceat
Neutral
1,703
-
6,887
6,661
7,717
11.1
14.2
116.2
178.2
14.7
9.6
2.5
2.1
15.2
21.3
1.1
1.0
JK Tyres
Neutral
151
-
3,434
8,318
9,239
16.2
16.4
21.0
27.5
7.2
5.5
1.4
1.1
19.1
20.4
0.9
0.7
Swaraj Engines
Neutral
1,959
-
2,433
788
889
16.4
16.5
71.6
81.0
27.4
24.2
7.9
7.3
29.6
31.0
2.7
2.4
Subros
Neutral
225
-
1,350
1,855
2,135
11.6
11.8
10.3
14.7
22.0
15.4
3.3
2.9
15.8
19.1
0.9
0.8
Capital Goods
BEML
Neutral
1,886
-
7,853
4,286
5,194
7.1
8.2
42.9
58.1
44.0
32.5
3.6
3.3
7.6
8.7
1.9
1.5
Bharat Electronics
Neutral
183
-
40,764
10,258
12,470
19.6
19.5
7.3
8.6
25.0
21.2
0.5
0.4
20.4
21.9
3.5
2.8
Voltas
Neutral
537
-
17,770
6,778
8,004
9.6
11.0
17.1
22.4
31.4
24.0
7.5
6.6
17.7
19.8
2.3
1.9
BHEL
Neutral
130
-
31,758
33,200
39,167
6.8
9.5
6.2
11.2
20.9
11.6
1.0
0.9
4.6
8.0
0.5
0.4
Blue Star
Accumulate
714
760
6,841
5,101
5,997
6.0
7.0
17.9
26.6
39.9
26.9
8.5
7.8
21.9
29.0
1.4
1.2
CG Power and Industrial
Neutral
81
-
5,102
6,555
7,292
7.5
7.5
-
0.8
8,140.0
101.8
1.3
1.3
0.1
1.2
0.9
0.8
Solutions
Greaves Cotton
Neutral
144
-
3,523
1,778
1,993
14.7
15.1
8.1
9.1
17.8
15.9
4.0
3.7
21.8
23.6
1.7
1.6
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
August 21, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Capital Goods
KEC International
Neutral
295
-
7,584
9,779
11,113
9.4
9.8
14.2
18.2
20.8
16.2
4.0
3.3
21.1
22.1
1.0
0.9
KEI Industries
Buy
216
258
1,678
3,001
3,391
10.0
10.0
13.0
16.1
16.6
13.4
3.0
2.5
18.2
18.7
0.7
0.7
Thermax
Neutral
896
-
10,673
4,125
4,747
10.3
10.8
26.7
31.5
33.6
28.4
3.8
3.4
11.2
12.0
2.3
2.0
VATech Wabag
Accumulate
630
681
3,439
3,867
4,126
9.6
10.0
34.9
39.8
18.1
15.8
3.0
2.6
17.7
17.5
0.9
0.8
Cement
ACC
Neutral
1,790
-
33,609
12,255
13,350
13.5
14.3
58.0
66.2
30.9
27.0
3.7
3.4
11.5
12.2
2.7
2.5
Ambuja Cements
Neutral
275
-
54,556
10,250
11,450
17.5
19.0
7.2
8.3
38.2
33.1
2.7
2.6
7.0
7.8
5.1
4.5
India Cements
Neutral
183
-
5,636
6,135
6,750
14.8
15.2
8.5
11.5
21.5
15.9
1.1
1.0
4.8
6.2
1.3
1.1
JK Cement
Neutral
1,006
-
7,033
4,150
4,775
19.2
20.0
49.0
63.5
20.5
15.8
3.3
2.8
17.0
18.5
2.1
1.8
J K Lakshmi Cement
Neutral
418
-
4,917
3,422
3,757
15.5
17.0
13.5
23.2
31.0
18.0
3.2
2.8
10.8
15.5
1.8
1.6
Orient Cement
Neutral
155
-
3,176
2,215
3,233
16.8
17.0
5.9
6.9
26.3
22.5
2.0
1.9
10.8
10.1
2.4
1.6
UltraTech Cement
Neutral
4,007
-
110,014
28,250
35,150
20.2
23.5
77.5
122.2
51.7
32.8
4.4
4.0
9.6
14.8
4.4
3.5
Construction
KNR Constructions
Neutral
218
-
3,071
1,846
2,203
14.5
14.5
12.1
13.7
18.1
16.0
1.0
0.9
17.5
16.7
1.7
1.4
Larsen & Toubro
Neutral
1,131
-
158,373
95,787
109,476
10.2
11.6
44.5
50.8
25.4
22.3
3.2
2.9
12.9
13.1
2.2
2.0
Gujarat Pipavav Port
Neutral
138
-
6,647
739
842
61.6
62.7
5.1
6.2
27.0
22.4
3.4
3.3
12.7
14.9
8.5
7.3
PNC Infratech
Neutral
145
-
3,726
2,040
2,935
13.0
13.0
6.4
9.0
22.7
16.1
0.6
0.5
9.7
12.2
1.8
1.3
Simplex Infra
Neutral
490
-
2,426
6,012
6,619
11.6
11.7
21.1
31.0
23.3
15.8
1.6
1.5
6.5
8.6
0.9
0.8
Sadbhav Engineering
Accumulate
269
298
4,610
3,823
4,426
10.7
10.8
10.3
11.8
26.1
22.8
3.1
2.7
10.1
10.5
1.5
1.3
NBCC
Neutral
208
-
18,747
9,099
12,706
6.4
6.4
7.3
9.6
28.6
21.8
1.3
1.0
27.5
30.5
1.9
1.4
MEP Infra
Neutral
116
-
1,879
2,403
2,910
18.3
16.8
2.4
6.1
49.2
19.0
18.7
12.6
35.2
55.8
1.9
1.6
SIPL
Neutral
102
-
3,577
2,060
2,390
46.8
47.7
(5.8)
(3.1)
3.8
4.3
(14.2)
(2.3)
6.5
6.1
Engineers India
Neutral
153
-
10,317
1,795
2,611
21.1
22.4
5.9
8.1
26.0
18.9
1.9
1.8
12.9
16.1
4.1
2.7
Financials
Axis Bank
Buy
491
580
117,632
32,558
35,843
3.5
3.2
27.8
41.0
17.6
12.0
1.9
1.7
11.4
14.9
-
-
Bank of Baroda
Neutral
147
-
33,894
22,533
26,079
2.4
2.4
12.0
20.9
12.2
7.0
0.8
0.8
6.6
11.0
-
-
Canara Bank
Neutral
332
-
19,851
17,925
20,235
2.0
2.1
18.5
36.5
18.0
9.1
0.7
0.6
3.4
6.2
-
-
Can Fin Homes
Neutral
2,898
-
7,715
586
741
3.5
3.5
107.8
141.0
26.9
20.6
5.9
4.8
24.1
25.6
-
-
Cholamandalam Inv. &
Accumulate
1,157
1,230
18,089
2,826
3,307
6.3
6.3
53.7
64.6
21.6
17.9
3.7
3.1
18.3
18.9
-
-
Fin. Co.
Dewan Housing Finance Buy
450
520
14,121
2,676
3,383
2.4
2.7
37.4
49.7
12.0
9.1
1.6
1.4
13.8
16.2
-
-
Equitas Holdings
Buy
159
235
5,380
1,125
1,380
9.6
9.8
1.5
6.0
105.9
26.5
2.4
2.2
2.4
8.2
-
-
Federal Bank
Buy
109
125
21,108
4,896
5,930
2.8
3.1
5.4
7.6
20.2
14.3
1.7
1.6
8.5
11.0
-
-
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
August 21, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Financials
HDFC Bank
Neutral
1,754
-
451,603
55,236
63,253
4.5
4.4
68.9
82.4
25.5
21.3
4.4
3.7
18.7
18.5
-
-
ICICI Bank
Accumulate
293
315
187,971
42,361
51,378
3.6
3.9
18.4
25.7
16.0
11.4
1.7
1.7
11.3
15.0
-
-
Karur Vysya Bank
Accumulate
143
160
8,614
3,289
3,630
3.7
3.9
10.8
14.1
13.2
10.1
1.6
1.4
12.5
14.7
-
-
LIC Housing Finance
Neutral
658
-
33,222
4,895
6,332
3.4
3.7
50.7
66.8
13.0
9.9
2.6
2.1
21.7
23.8
-
-
Punjab Natl.Bank
Neutral
142
-
30,281
23,708
25,758
2.1
2.1
5.9
16.4
24.2
8.7
0.7
0.7
3.0
8.3
-
-
RBL Bank
Neutral
527
-
19,999
2,309
2,888
2.6
2.5
16.4
19.1
32.2
27.7
4.0
3.6
13.3
13.8
-
-
Repco Home Finance
Buy
663
825
4,146
496
597
4.4
4.2
38.5
48.7
17.2
13.6
3.1
2.6
19.6
20.6
-
-
South Ind.Bank
Neutral
28
-
5,034
3,195
3,567
3.0
3.1
3.0
3.8
9.2
7.3
0.9
0.8
10.5
11.9
-
-
St Bk of India
Neutral
279
-
240,532
105,827
121,056
2.4
2.5
16.1
25.6
17.3
10.9
1.4
1.2
6.6
9.9
-
-
Union Bank
Neutral
132
-
9,078
14,650
16,225
2.3
2.3
23.1
32.5
5.7
4.1
0.4
0.4
7.1
9.2
-
-
Yes Bank
Neutral
1,720
-
78,726
11,088
13,138
3.0
2.9
84.0
99.3
20.5
17.3
3.1
2.7
16.3
16.8
-
-
FMCG
Akzo Nobel India
Neutral
1,767
-
8,475
3,164
3,607
13.8
13.7
58.6
67.9
30.2
26.0
7.4
6.5
24.5
25.1
2.5
2.2
Asian Paints
Neutral
1,140
-
109,339
17,603
20,615
18.6
18.6
2,128.9
2,543.3
0.5
0.5
11.3
9.5
28.0
28.9
6.0
5.1
Britannia
Neutral
4,247
-
50,990
9,690
11,278
14.8
15.4
84.0
101.0
50.6
42.1
18.4
14.6
40.6
39.0
5.2
4.5
Colgate
Neutral
1,069
-
29,073
4,420
5,074
24.9
25.3
28.6
32.8
37.4
32.6
14.7
11.9
43.8
40.5
6.3
5.5
Dabur India
Neutral
311
-
54,792
8,346
9,344
19.6
19.9
7.8
9.0
39.9
34.6
8.0
7.3
25.2
24.8
6.2
5.4
GlaxoSmith Con*
Neutral
5,399
-
22,707
5,072
5,760
18.2
18.4
176.3
199.2
30.6
27.1
6.5
5.9
21.2
21.7
3.8
3.3
Godrej Consumer
Neutral
920
-
62,658
10,171
11,682
20.8
21.5
21.7
27.1
42.4
33.9
9.5
8.2
22.3
23.4
6.3
5.4
HUL
Neutral
1,200
-
259,671
37,077
41,508
20.3
21.8
5,189.9
6,318.5
0.2
0.2
36.6
31.2
74.8
82.0
6.9
6.1
ITC
Neutral
282
-
343,038
44,588
49,853
37.0
37.3
9.6
11.0
29.4
25.6
7.2
6.9
25.1
27.3
7.2
6.4
Marico
Neutral
319
-
41,205
6,788
7,766
18.5
19.2
7.1
8.5
45.0
37.6
15.7
13.5
36.9
38.0
5.9
5.2
Nestle*
Neutral
6,646
-
64,073
10,083
11,182
20.0
20.9
119.7
141.3
55.5
47.0
195.7
178.8
36.7
39.8
6.0
5.4
Tata Global
Neutral
194
-
12,269
7,121
7,641
11.9
12.3
6.9
8.0
28.2
24.3
1.9
1.8
6.8
7.2
1.5
1.4
Procter & Gamble
Neutral
8,229
-
26,711
3,034
3,579
27.1
27.7
167.7
198.8
49.1
41.4
13.2
11.3
28.8
29.5
8.2
6.9
Hygiene
IT
HCL Tech^
Buy
876
1,014
125,033
52,342
57,053
20.9
20.9
62.8
67.6
14.0
13.0
3.1
2.7
22.4
20.6
2.1
1.8
Infosys
Buy
923
1,179
212,031
73,963
80,619
26.0
26.0
64.4
69.3
14.3
13.3
2.8
2.6
19.7
19.6
2.3
2.1
TCS
Accumulate
2,513
2,651
495,139
127,403
138,870
27.6
27.6
144.5
156.0
17.4
16.1
5.2
4.8
29.7
29.8
3.6
3.2
Tech Mahindra
Buy
428
533
41,716
31,015
33,496
15.0
15.0
35.6
38.1
12.0
11.2
2.0
1.9
17.0
16.3
1.1
1.0
Wipro
Neutral
288
-
140,250
58,536
61,858
20.3
20.3
18.2
19.1
15.8
15.1
2.5
2.1
14.6
13.4
2.3
2.2
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
August 21, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Media
D B Corp
Neutral
375
-
6,898
2,404
2,625
30.5
31.5
23.7
26.9
15.8
13.9
3.7
3.2
23.5
22.8
2.7
2.5
HT Media
Neutral
87
-
2,020
2,589
2,830
15.1
15.4
8.3
10.9
10.5
8.0
0.8
0.8
8.4
10.4
0.3
0.2
Jagran Prakashan
Buy
172
225
5,631
2,541
2,835
28.5
28.7
12.7
14.1
13.6
12.2
2.8
2.4
21.3
21.4
2.1
1.8
Sun TV Network
Neutral
742
-
29,233
3,238
3,789
51.9
55.1
30.9
38.0
24.0
19.5
6.9
6.0
30.0
31.0
8.5
7.2
Hindustan Media
Neutral
269
-
1,977
1,002
1,074
23.3
23.5
29.2
33.8
9.2
8.0
1.4
1.2
15.6
15.4
1.0
0.7
Ventures
TV Today Network
Buy
240
344
1,432
667
727
27.7
27.7
18.6
20.1
12.9
12.0
2.0
2.1
15.6
17.3
1.7
1.6
Music Broadcast Limited Buy
376
434
2,146
271
317
91.0
109.0
6.0
10.0
62.7
37.6
3.9
3.6
6.5
9.3
7.5
6.2
Metals & Mining
Coal India
Neutral
243
-
151,026
82,301
91,235
17.0
18.0
17.1
20.5
14.2
11.9
2.7
2.5
45.0
55.0
1.5
1.3
Hind. Zinc
Neutral
294
-
124,119
22,108
24,555
57.0
58.0
22.1
26.3
13.3
11.2
4.3
3.5
32.0
35.0
4.6
3.8
Hindalco
Neutral
230
-
51,589
102,350
105,355
13.5
14.5
21.5
24.5
10.7
9.4
1.5
1.2
15.0
15.2
1.1
1.0
JSW Steel
Neutral
237
-
57,373
64,500
68,245
21.1
21.5
20.1
21.2
11.8
11.2
2.2
1.9
-
-
1.6
1.5
NMDC
Neutral
121
-
38,172
10,209
11,450
47.0
48.0
11.1
12.1
10.9
10.0
1.5
1.4
-
-
3.3
2.9
SAIL
Neutral
60
-
24,698
54,100
63,555
3.0
10.0
(10.0)
1.5
39.9
0.8
0.8
-
-
1.5
1.2
Vedanta
Neutral
298
-
110,921
81,206
87,345
28.0
29.0
26.5
33.5
11.3
8.9
2.6
2.2
-
-
2.1
1.8
Tata Steel
Neutral
625
-
60,740
121,445
126,500
16.2
17.2
65.4
81.3
9.6
7.7
1.5
1.3
-
-
1.0
0.9
Oil & Gas
GAIL
Neutral
382
-
64,574
53,115
52,344
14.2
15.3
30.0
31.1
12.7
12.3
1.6
1.5
-
-
0.9
0.9
ONGC
Neutral
161
-
206,294
83,111
84,934
44.2
44.9
16.4
16.9
9.8
9.5
1.2
1.1
-
-
2.4
2.3
Indian Oil Corp
Neutral
427
-
207,517
396,116
432,560
8.5
8.8
40.1
42.2
10.7
10.1
1.8
1.7
-
-
0.7
0.6
Reliance Industries
Neutral
1,575
-
512,304
257,711
267,438
17.0
18.2
89.1
89.5
17.7
17.6
1.6
1.5
-
-
1.6
1.6
Pharmaceuticals
Alembic Pharma
Buy
516
600
9,719
3,903
4,584
18.2
19.2
21.8
27.2
23.7
19.0
4.3
3.6
19.8
20.6
2.5
2.1
Alkem Laboratories Ltd
Buy
1,800
2,161
21,520
6,901
7,850
18.4
19.1
85.0
100.5
21.2
17.9
4.3
3.6
20.2
20.1
3.1
2.7
Aurobindo Pharma
Buy
705
823
41,275
17,086
19,478
22.1
22.0
44.7
51.4
15.8
13.7
3.5
2.8
24.7
22.7
2.5
2.2
Aventis*
Neutral
4,034
-
9,291
2,508
2,862
16.8
16.8
139.9
153.8
28.8
26.2
4.2
3.4
23.5
25.8
3.3
2.7
Cadila Healthcare
Reduce
474
426
48,474
11,584
13,228
20.3
20.4
18.7
21.3
25.3
22.2
5.6
4.6
24.6
22.9
4.0
3.5
Cipla
Sell
566
461
45,520
16,619
19,437
15.4
16.2
19.7
24.3
28.7
23.3
3.3
2.9
12.0
13.2
2.9
2.5
Dr Reddy's
Buy
1,983
2,419
32,868
15,844
17,973
17.6
18.2
91.7
111.0
21.6
17.9
2.5
2.2
11.9
13.0
2.3
2.0
GSK Pharma*
Neutral
2,391
-
20,252
3,260
3,651
15.0
18.0
46.1
58.6
51.9
40.8
10.7
11.0
20.0
26.5
6.1
5.6
Indoco Remedies
Sell
194
153
1,785
1,154
1,310
14.9
14.9
11.3
12.7
17.1
15.3
2.4
2.2
15.0
15.0
1.7
1.4
Ipca labs
Buy
413
620
5,207
3,593
4,022
14.5
15.5
19.4
25.2
21.3
16.4
1.9
1.7
9.5
11.2
1.5
1.3
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
August 21, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Pharmaceuticals
Lupin
Buy
941
1,467
42,498
18,657
21,289
21.3
23.3
52.8
66.7
17.8
14.1
2.7
2.3
16.3
17.5
2.3
1.9
Natco Pharma
Accumulate
756
796
13,175
1,836
1,946
31.8
28.9
22.1
20.6
34.2
36.7
6.9
6.1
20.1
16.7
7.0
6.6
Sun Pharma
Buy
470
712
112,765
32,899
36,451
26.9
25.4
31.6
32.3
14.9
14.6
2.6
2.3
18.7
18.8
3.1
2.6
Syngene International
Buy
453
557
9,057
1,402
1,823
32.8
36.0
15.9
20.7
28.5
21.9
5.3
4.4
18.7
20.0
6.4
4.9
Power
Tata Power
Neutral
80
-
21,719
32,547
33,806
20.5
20.5
4.7
5.4
17.1
15.0
1.6
1.4
10.5
10.5
1.7
1.6
NTPC
Neutral
173
-
142,894
86,070
101,246
28.3
30.7
12.9
16.2
13.4
10.7
1.4
1.3
10.6
12.4
3.0
2.7
Power Grid
Neutral
223
-
116,586
29,183
32,946
89.7
90.0
18.0
20.8
12.4
10.7
2.1
1.8
17.7
18.2
7.9
7.3
Real Estate
Prestige Estate
Neutral
265
-
9,919
4,607
5,146
21.0
22.2
7.9
9.8
33.5
27.0
2.1
1.9
10.3
12.0
3.3
3.0
MLIFE
Buy
405
522
2,078
487
590
12.3
17.8
21.0
31.2
19.3
13.0
1.0
1.0
5.2
7.4
3.0
2.4
Telecom
Bharti Airtel
Neutral
422
-
168,530
97,903
105,233
36.0
36.3
9.3
11.1
45.3
38.2
2.2
2.1
5.0
5.6
2.7
2.4
Idea Cellular
Neutral
90
-
32,550
35,012
37,689
27.1
27.7
(4.4)
(2.7)
1.4
1.5
(6.8)
(4.6)
2.2
2.0
zOthers
Abbott India
Neutral
4,275
-
9,083
3,244
3,723
14.9
16.1
167.5
209.4
25.5
20.4
5.6
4.7
23.7
24.8
2.4
2.1
Asian Granito
Buy
409
480
1,231
1,169
1,286
12.5
12.5
16.0
19.7
25.6
20.8
2.7
2.4
10.7
11.6
1.3
1.1
Bajaj Electricals
Buy
330
395
3,342
4,646
5,301
6.7
7.6
16.1
22.3
20.5
14.8
3.3
2.8
16.4
19.2
0.7
0.6
Banco Products (India)
Neutral
211
-
1,511
1,530
1,695
13.2
12.7
19.0
20.0
11.1
10.6
1.8
1.6
0.2
0.2
0.9
99.5
Coffee Day Enterprises
Neutral
242
-
4,991
3,494
3,913
17.4
18.0
4.8
5.7
-
42.5
2.2
2.0
-
0.1
1.9
1.7
Ltd
Elecon Engineering
Neutral
50
-
564
171
201
15.0
16.2
36.0
43.0
1.4
1.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
2.7
2.3
Garware Wall Ropes
Neutral
876
-
1,917
928
1,003
15.2
15.2
39.4
43.2
22.2
20.3
3.7
3.1
16.5
15.4
1.9
1.7
Goodyear India*
Neutral
818
-
1,888
1,717
1,866
11.8
12.3
47.9
49.8
17.1
16.4
2.6
2.3
15.6
15.7
0.8
113.8
Hitachi
Neutral
2,036
-
5,537
2,355
2,715
10.3
10.8
49.0
60.9
41.6
33.4
9.7
7.7
0.2
0.2
2.4
2.0
HSIL
Neutral
353
-
2,553
2,240
2,670
14.6
15.0
17.0
22.0
20.8
16.1
1.7
1.6
0.1
0.1
1.4
1.1
Interglobe Aviation
Neutral
1,270
-
45,916
22,570
27,955
14.2
15.0
63.6
81.8
20.0
15.5
10.5
8.9
0.5
0.6
1.7
1.3
Jyothy Laboratories
Neutral
377
-
6,840
1,781
2,044
14.1
15.0
9.4
10.5
40.3
35.9
8.6
8.0
0.2
0.2
4.1
3.5
Linc Pen & Plastics
Neutral
247
-
366
420
462
9.3
9.3
15.3
17.1
16.2
14.5
2.7
2.8
16.9
19.5
0.9
0.8
M M Forgings
Neutral
608
-
734
542
642
20.1
21.0
41.6
56.8
14.6
10.7
2.0
1.7
0.1
0.2
1.8
1.6
Mirza International
Neutral
157
-
1,888
1,148
1,285
18.0
18.0
8.0
9.4
19.5
16.8
3.2
2.7
16.3
16.1
1.8
1.6
Navkar Corporation
Buy
189
265
2,694
561
617
41.5
41.5
11.5
12.7
16.4
14.9
1.7
1.6
10.5
10.4
5.5
4.8
Nilkamal
Neutral
1,648
-
2,459
2,317
2,525
11.4
11.1
96.0
105.0
17.2
15.7
2.9
2.5
0.2
0.2
1.0
0.9
Parag Milk Foods
Neutral
236
-
1,983
1,987
2,379
7.6
9.0
12.4
18.3
19.0
12.9
2.7
2.4
8.2
13.2
1.1
0.9
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
August 21, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E
zOthers
Radico Khaitan
Neutral
167
-
2,216
1,811
1,992
13.2
13.2
8.1
8.8
20.6
18.9
2.1
2.3
10.1
12.0
1.6
1.4
Relaxo Footwears
Neutral
489
-
5,874
1,981
2,310
13.7
14.5
12.0
15.5
40.8
31.6
7.9
6.4
0.2
0.2
3.0
2.6
Siyaram Silk Mills
Buy
2,018
2,500
1,892
1,769
1,981
12.7
12.7
113.1
131.1
17.8
15.4
2.8
2.4
15.5
15.5
1.2
1.1
Styrolution ABS India* Neutral
878
-
1,544
1,800
1,980
8.0
8.1
42.0
46.2
20.9
19.0
2.3
2.1
0.1
0.1
1.0
0.9
Surya Roshni
Neutral
277
-
1,213
4,870
5,320
7.7
7.8
22.8
28.1
12.2
9.9
1.6
1.4
0.1
0.1
0.5
0.4
TVS Srichakra
Neutral
3,388
-
2,595
2,729
2,893
12.7
12.5
248.5
265.0
13.6
12.8
3.9
3.2
0.3
0.3
1.0
0.9
Visaka Industries
Neutral
498
-
791
1,104
1,214
12.1
12.6
31.0
37.9
16.1
13.2
2.0
1.8
0.1
0.1
0.9
0.8
VIP Industries
Accumulate
195
218
2,756
1,450
1,693
10.4
10.5
6.5
7.8
29.8
25.0
6.3
5.5
21.1
22.1
1.9
1.6
Navin Fluorine
Accumulate
680
730
3,352
945
1,154
22.4
22.6
28.7
34.8
23.7
19.6
3.9
3.4
-
-
3.1
2.4
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on August 19, 2017
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
August 21, 2017
Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800
E-mail: [email protected]
Website: www.angelbroking.com
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